Why you should never leave negative feedback on eBay

Okay, so you bought something from eBay that was described as used, the photographs were a little fuzzy and you paid a bit too much for it.

When you try it, it doesn’t exactly turn you into Miss World like you thought it was going to. Then, shock-horror, you spot a snag that the seller failed to mention. You begin to fill with venom. There is only one way to take revenge against this personal vendetta: leave a negative feedback. That will teach the conniving little fraudster.

I can almost feel the fumes radiating from the computer screen when I see them- no contact has been made, no attempt to get a refund or a replacement has been tried, and the sheer number of exclamation marks and typos spells out a message written by a hand that is shaking with rage.

Well let me tell you a secret- if you keep thinking the world is out to get you then it will. If you want good service and you wish to avoid being screwed over altogether then you’ve got to learn some eBay manners. The golden rule is: never leave a negative feedback.

Let’s start with some ground rules: DSRs. This stands for Detailed Seller Ratings; this is the part where you can mark sellers out of five stars for accuracy of item description, communication, delivery time and postage and packaging charges. These directly affect seller performance, and therefore the strength of their listings in search results. Low DSR ratings effectively push seller’s products to the back of the queue, so potential buyers will never even see them. A seller who makes living selling two-pound items relies on selling hundreds of them. So unless the service was absolutely appalling and the seller called you up and threatened you, put dog poo through your letterbox or insulted your mother, think very carefully before you leave a casual four stars.

Postage charges is one area of DSRs where sellers typically lose out- if it wasn’t free it doesn’t deserve five stars right? Wrong. Take a trip to your local courier, find out the postage price per item and then order a thousand plastic pouches, address labels and Jiffy bags. You never thought they were that expensive did you?

Feedback works in a similar way to DSRs- sellers with poor feedback percentages will lose potential sales through search results. Even worse, the feedback scores are displayed on all their listings which can put some buyers off altogether. One click and anyone can read what useless waste of space you think they are, because they ruined your dinner plans with a faulty potato masher they sent you six months ago.

Next rule of thumb: use the messaging service- sparingly. eBay has a distinct advantage over an  impersonal company because the seller is instantly reachable. That does not mean that it is acceptable to harass them via their inbox like a manic stalker. It however does mean that if you’re not happy, for any reason, you can just drop them a message and request a resolution. You’re 100% more likely to get your money back by doing this than by leaving a negative feedback.

Sellers take pride in their feedback and customer reputation. Thousands of ordinary people are making a living from their businesses on e-commerce sites such as eBay- by that I mean mums, dads and people just like you. If they make a mistake, or something goes wrong in transit give them a chance to solve it. They are the ones who will ultimately lose money, so it is just as frustrating for the seller to lose his goods in the post as it is for you. It may be hard to believe when you unwrap your leather belt to discover it has an extra scratch on it that wasn’t photographed with an 8X superzoom lens, but 99.9% of sellers are not setting out to defraud you. Taking transaction glitches personally is just frankly setting yourself up for high blood pressure and an early grave.

Be reasonable towards your fellow eBay community and they will be reasonable towards you. A polite message will nine times out of ten receive a polite and helpful response. Going at the seller like your next move is chemical warfare isn’t going to win you any favours. If anything, you might just blow your chance of getting the result you want. Yes their business is important to them but everyone draws the line somewhere, and there is only so much grovelling any one person can do to a bunch of faceless idiots. If you’re the fifth hysterical nutcase they’ve encountered that week, it might just backfire.

Lastly, decide what you want out of the deal and stick to it. Choose whether you want a replacement or a refund before you contact the seller- and for Gods’ sake don’t demand a partial refund. That’s not how business works. You wouldn’t go to the supermarket, buy a joint of lamb for a tenner then call up and say “On second thoughts I don’t think this lamb was worth a tenner, I’d like five pounds back” – so don’t do it on eBay. If it’s not up to scratch, it’s not up to scratch, so be prepared to kiss goodbye to it and get your money back.

Sure, there is the odd scammer out there taking advantage of the wonders of free trade. It’s a bummer when you can’t get a response and you have to get a refund from eBay- but the very least you can do is try. That egg poacher may have caused you a little disappointment at the time- but get over it and think twice before you destroy someone’s hard-earned reputation and potentially, their livelihood.

Aviation: When Globalisation Reached New Heights

Travel is not new. People have always travelled, and although the term ‘globalisation’ has been coined as a somewhat new-age 1980s buzzword, the concept has been traced back as far as the early expansion of Islam in 622 AD.

Just a hundred years ago, people were astonished at the mere thought of ‘going by air’. But sure enough, the Wright brothers roared ahead and proved it was possible with their first flight in 1903- which lasted 12 seconds and covered 120 feet. Less than half a century later, air technology had ascended so rapidly the sound barrier was broken in 1947, and by the time the Beatles hit the scene in 1962 jumbo passenger jets were already in production.

The climb to the forefront began in 1945 when many ex-military carriers were converted for commercial use. Post-war development of airlines revolutionised the movement of people and cargo worldwide, and it was at this point that globalisation began lift off.

Global travel was on the rise. Holidaying abroad became not just a luxury of the very rich or those with friends in high places- Ordinary people could now see the world and it opened up a whole new opportunity for commerce.

At this point, trade was seriously looking up. Aviation was like gold dust for business- suddenly, ease of transportation of goods and peoples meant that outsourcing was fully possible to even the smaller businessman. The rise of transnational corporations (TNCs) came about with the rise of air transport: one could headquarter and manufacture in any nation; saving costs on labour, taxes and production whilst avoiding a host of laws and trade restrictions.

Over the years, the aviation industry has had to clear many mountains, and has been shaped by the combined forces of sovereignty, nationalism and protectionism.  Most countries established their own airlines, which have been protected from foreign competition by policies such as stability of supply and subsidies.

The industry itself possesses a rather sad irony- instigating globalisation which empowered many million corporate giants, the aviation industry, burdened by a history of regulation and government involvement is itself far from globalised.

Privatisation played a huge part in the shaping of the aviation industry in the 1980s; we now see higher consolidation between airlines in the form of mergers, and vertical alignment of smaller companies with leading companies, which creates few, powerful airlines that dominate the market.

Hard to believe, but 70% of all new airline companies never take off.  There were 146 new market entrants between 1979 and 1993 and out of those, 122 failed. Examples of low cost airlines that went bankrupt between 2003 and 2005 include companies such as Go Fly, Buzz Away and Dream Air; although judging by the names it’s not surprising. Perhaps ‘Dream On’ would have been more appropriate.

Boeing to the high costs involved, the success of most Airlines is through Global Alliances. This benefits both parties- Star Alliance was formed in 1997, where six major carriers joined forces to offer a common brand.

Getting an airline up and running is a bit of a long haul. Small airlines that fail to be taken under the wing of major companies are often the targets of rogue market competitiveness, where larger airlines drop their prices to undercut smaller market sharers and nip them in the bud before they grow.

Even for the big boys times have been tough. Even if you’re a market leader, owning an airline company isn’t a smooth ride. Global events have played a huge part in the loss of profits for airline companies. Aviation took a nose dive and worldwide bookings plummeted after the 2001 9/11 terrorist attacks and during the 2008 recession. More recently, the share price of Malaysia Airways crashed in 2014 after two major incidents that sparked global concern.

And they’re not the only ones. Business at British Airways has been turbulent since the takeover by budget airlines and foreign new-leaders such as Emirates. Sadly for BA, they never soar it coming.

Reshaping constantly is a key component for staying at the top of your game. Companies such as British Airways strive constantly to implement ways to regain their place at the top, but are constantly criticised for high prices, lack of terminals and shoddy service. On the other hand, companies such as Ryan Air have built a very successful business on bad publicity.

Now, one of the biggest challenges the industry faces is the rise of oil prices. Aviation is a costly business. Airlines spent $140 billion on fuel in 2010 and oil accounts for a third of operating costs. An oil prise rise of just $1 per barrel adds $1.6 billion to airline’s expenditures. Despite their huge success within the marketplace, at times airlines have become so strapped for cash it’s a wonder they don’t charge extra for emotional baggage.

It is no surprise that companies are desperate for developments of more fuel efficient aeroplanes. The next major step is to increase carbon efficiency and to begin to develop ‘greener’ technology in preparation for the future. Peak oil reserves have already been met and demands for more eco-friendly operations are rising.  Though air travel is only set to grow in future, the industry has committed to reduce its net carbon footprint to 50% what it was in 2005 by 2050.

Despite all the challenges that airlines face, passenger airline use is projected to increase three and a half times by 2030 and the world fleet is expected to double by 2032. And the reason for this is plane and simple. Globalisation and aviation feed one another.  In an ever globalising world, business for airlines can only grow higher. Now try and find another industry like that.

Travel and Tourism: a Socio-Cultural Nightmare?

Since the 1970s and 1980s, the possibilities for the common man to travel almost anywhere in the world have only heightened. Globalisation is the increasing interconnectedness of economies and societies through increasing ease of communication, transport and trade (AQA 2011); has given rise to a boom in worldwide tourism development.

Tourism can be described as a trip, or holiday, away from one’s usual place of residence, involving at least one overnight stay. (Mayhew 2009). These trips and holiday, indulged by mainly citizens of the Global North, have been the drivers for a number of developments that have had far-reaching socio-cultural impacts.

Urry (1990) states that the ‘cultural aspect of a destination is key to the tourism experience’. This means that tourism companies, driven by economic gain, will either alter or commodify culture of a destination- which has some positive, but many negative effects on the destination community.

The first example of this can be seen within the Caribbean. An area which used to consist of sustainable communities of farmers, and ‘sun sea and sand’ in the early days of tourism, has now become the place to go for ‘sun sex and casinos’ (Garcia and Clegg 2009). Existing communities are either drawn into the ‘dark side’ of this industry, or marginalised. Women become sex workers, (although many of these are migrants) although many of them are happy to embrace this new cultural phenomenon because it gains them access to some of the wealth that they are now being constantly exposed to (Garcia and Clegg 2009).

Cruise industries that operate within the Caribbean marginalise local communities in many ways. Not only is there an apparent ‘skin colour hierarchy’ on board (Wood 2000) but the companies, such as Royal Caribbean Cruises actually own Caribbean land and islands and allow native communities no access to allow their guests to enjoy ‘the true Caribbean experience, free from clutter’ (Royal Caribbean 2011).

The second example involves the ‘commodification of culture’. As Cole (2007) states, ‘much literature points to the fact that Tourism causes culture to become a commodity’.

Examples of this can be seen even in the most remote places of the globe, driven by tourists demand for the more ‘authentic’ experience. Sadly, more and more remote places are now being exploited by tourism companies due to the tourist’s demands to see the ‘Other’. As Cole (2007) also states, ‘once a place loses its distinctiveness and its authenticity, it loses its appeal and value’.

Ngadha is a small village in the Indonesian country of Flores, and poses an interesting example of the socio-cultural impacts of tourism development. Studies show that culture is not always altered by tourists, and rather, commodification of culture can sometimes have positive effects of the destination communities.

The people of Ngadha express a feeling of pride and empowerment when sharing their cultural rituals with tourists. (Cole 2007). Their ethic is ‘the more the merrier’ (Cole 2007). However these people have not been vastly manipulated by tourists. They will allow tourists to join their rituals, but refuse to put on rituals especially for the tourists’ benefit as this is ‘fake’ and would ‘anger the ancestors’ (Cole 2007).

This is not the case for many parts of the world however. In areas of Spain, festivals are ‘staged’ for the tourist benefit. Much of Spain’s original culture has been lost due to mass tourism (Cohen 2001).

The socio-cultural benefits to the people of Ngadha, however are not completely typical to the entire of Flores. Although positive benefits come with the influx of Tourism industry such as infrastructure and electricity, this is not always favoured by the tourists. They described the electricity poles, a clear indication of modernisation as ‘unsightly’ and ‘ruining their photographs’ (Cole 2007). Unfortunately the state side with tourists and many areas of Flores are denied modernisation to retain their backward and primitive ‘charm’.

Tourism development can have varying effects depending also on level of community participation. Two examples include Tamarindo, in Costa Rica, and Samoa. Tamarindo in Costa Rica has been subject to vast levels of Tourism development and influx of multi-national companies. Landowners have sold their property to developers and are now effectively slaves, employed by these companies as a means to survive. Refusing to sell brings one no favours either; a family in Tamarindo decided not to sell their house, and are now surrounded by high rise hotel complexes. Their view and community and thus quality of life has been destroyed (Cole 2014).

In contrast to this, Samoa paints a different picture. Here, low maintenance Fales are owned and run by locals, and this increases wealth, pride and community adherence (Tuson 1999). This situation isn’t without pitfalls however. Water is a rare commodity in simplistic local tourism developments, and severe water shortages are likely by 2025 in many areas (Cole 2012). Tourists use three times the water as locals (Garcia and Clegg 2009) and this shortage is in some areas already causing conflict in some countries within communities.

Socio-cultural implications come in many forms. Quality of life is often reduced by commodification of culture, and social impacts come in the form of lack of dignity and pride, as well as marginalisation.

Cohen (2001) states that ‘although we saw the demise of colonial style human zoos in the 1940s, the phenomenon is still apparent in the context of modern ‘ethnic tourism’ (Cohen 2001). An example of this is Kenyan tribes. A study revealed that women removed their neck rings because they didn’t want their community to become a ‘human zoo’ (Trupp 2011). They began to adopt a more Western culture and dress sense, so effectively their culture is lost. Although this is not always a negative implication for the communities involved, the Kenyan tribes were forced to ‘reinvent’ their culture and put back on the neck rings for economic reasons (Trupp 2011). This is an example of the implication for societies when their culture becomes ‘Museumized’. (MacConnell 1976).

The other end of the spectrum is when communities are simply marginalised, penalised or ‘pushed out’ for tourism development, and this is seen in much more ‘far-flung’ places than the Caribbean which has been ‘Globalised’ for many years.

The Maasi tribes have been removed from areas of land and are no longer allowed to hunt or remove wildlife (which damage livestock, crops and housing) because these wildlife species have a commercial value for tourism companies. (…. 2010). This is an example of how tourism can seriously damage even the very last of the globes native population livelihoods’.

Despite this, there are many benefits of tourism development. Schyven and Russel (2011) describe the native Fijians as having benefited as a community from lease payments and multi-national corporations. These funds enter a pot which is used for community projects- enhancing income stability and community adhesion.

Tourism development has many socio-cultural impacts, both positive and negative, that is driven by tourist demand. It depends on the level of such demand whether a place is changed significantly, such as in the Caribbean, or ‘museumized’ such as in Kenya. What is particularly notable however is than more and more remote places in the globe are now subject to socio-cultural impacts of tourism development.

The Theory of Plate Tectonics

Once, they thought the Earth was flat, and now they know how mountains move.

The term ‘plate tectonics’ describes the process whereby lithospheric plates move laterally on the asthenosphere (Skinner and Porter 2000). Basically, chunks of the Earth’s crust move about- constantly.

The Earth’s crust is divided into 6 large plates and many smaller plates; the edges of these plates are called ‘faults’ or ‘plate boundaries’. Convection currents in the mantle, caused by heat within the Earth drives movement of these pates. Although the Earth’s plates move very slowly (centimetres per year) the theory can be used to explain many of the large scale features of the planet.

For many years, scientists have been trying to explain features such as valleys, mountains and most notably, the position of the continents. In the mid-1500s, Flemish cartographer, Abraham Ortelius first proposed the theory that the continents had somehow been ‘torn away’ from one another. Other scientists noted this phenomenon. In 1795, James Hutton, commonly named ‘The Father of Geology’, began to explore the formation of rock and proposed that the Earth was a molten ball. Unbeknown to him, and other scientists at the time, the idea was in fact a key element to explaining movement of the continents.

In 1912, German scientist Alfred Wegner proposed his theory of Continental Drift. In is arguable that Wegner was most forceful to propose his theory at the time. Wegener drew upon a number of evidences in order to support his claim. Firstly, he too noted the shape of the continents, that they appear as though they have been torn apart and could fit back together like a jigsaw. To support this, Wegner drew upon other solid evidence- the geology of the rocks (identical in South America and Africa); fossilised plants and animals (Mesosaurus discovered in South America and Africa, and Trilobites in North America and Europe); and last, but most compelling, ‘wrong latitude evidence’. If continents had not moved, how could there be evidence of an ancient ice sheet in Africa and coal reserves in Britain? However, Wegner’s theory was discredited: scientists could come up with no plausible mechanism for how continents could have drifted across the sea floor.

Henry Hess was a Scottish geologist who first proposed the idea that the Earth was a molten ball, and that new crust is created from inside. He got his ideas from a glass factory, when he observed that glass of the same chemical composition formed a completely different structure when subjected to different temperatures and different rates of cooling. He proposed his ideas to the national geologic survey who laughed at him. He tried convincing them by showing them areas of rock which had melted into one- but could not prove it.

British Geologist Arthur Holmes was arguably the first man to piece all evidence together and propose the theory that large slabs of crust move across the Earth’s surface due to convection on the mantle, and published his findings in his 1944 book ‘The Principles of Physical Geology’. However at the time it was very much a hypothesis. It is said that David Attenborough once asked his professor if they were going to cover the part of plate tectonics. His teacher replied, ‘When it is true, we will cover it’.

In the 1950s ‘Apparent polar wandering’ led scientists to reluctantly admit that plates had moved (Skinner and Porter 2000) When molten rock cools, magnetic minerals within the rock align themselves with the Earth’s magnetic polarity. As the magnetic field could not be different in the same part of the world, scientists had to conclude, that somehow, movement of crust had taken place.

Soon after, while mapping the ocean floor, Harry Hess and scientists discovered something conclusive: the Mid Atlantic Ridge. Upon investigation they realised that new rock was being released from this ridge, and becomes progressively older the further away from the ridge. They also noticed polarity stripes were apparent on the rock as new crust had formed over many millions of years, each time the magnetic minerals aligning themselves with the current, normal or reversed polarity of the Earth.

The spreading centre that Hess and his colleagues discovered is one of three main plate boundaries named today: a Divergent Boundary. This is where convection currents I the mantle move plates apart creating new crust at the spreading centre.

Scientists now understand that convergent boundaries exist, which off-set the spreading. There are two types of convergent boundary: continental-oceanic and continental-continental. At continental-oceanic boundaries, subduction zones exist where crust sinks into the mantle as plates collide. The second type are called collision zones. This tectonic uplift explains continental mountain chains, and many feature of the Earth’s topography such as the Himalayas.

The final movement is where two plates move parallel to one another. These are called transform boundaries, or ‘conservative’ boundaries, and no creation or loss of crust occurs. The San Andreas fault in California is a famous Transform Boundary.

Plates, on average move 7 centimetres per year. This can be measured using satellites and hot spots. Hot spots are areas of the Earth’s mantle which possess long lived volcanism. Because these points are fixed, ‘chains’ of volcanos can be observed on land as plates move.

Convection in the mantle caused by heat from radiation is so far the only explanation of how Earth’s plates move. It is now accepted today that in fact continents don’t move- but entire plates of continental and oceanic crust. The one question scientists still face is: what exactly drives the movement direction? Currents theories include ridge push, slab pull, and gravity slide; or a combination of all three. Scientists have come a long way in exploring the Earth’s bimodal topography through plate tectonics however there is still more to be understood. The possibility remains that they are wrong about all of it.

The Order of Succession

In terms of Ecology, the term ‘succession’ can be defined as ‘The change in species composition, community structure and function over time’ (MacKenzie et al 2001).

Succession of plant species follows a disturbance or initial colonisation of a new habitat. Take a back garden: the owners abandoned the house, stopped mowing the lawn, and the garden was left completely to its own devices. Eventually, after many stages of development, this garden would probably become a forest.

Grass is a competitive species, however with no regular mowing taking place; new opportunistic pioneering species (r-selected species) which grow easily quickly begin to take hold. Then, shrubs begin to jump in and smaller species die out. Eventually, tree saplings (K-selected species) grow large enough to dominate, and compete with smaller species by engulfing all the light, water and nutrients. The final set of ruling species is called the ‘climax community’.

Take a look around and begin to imagine what could be under your feet if nature was to take its course. The grass fields all around us are what is called a ‘plagioclimax’– this is, a climax community caused by human halting of natural succession. Should these fields be forest? Was the Oak woodland always like that or perhaps planted by humans? How about the dandelions that grow between the cracks of tarmac at a dis-used industrial site; are they, perhaps the first in the line of succession that would eventually become a natural jungle?

Primary succession; succession that occurs on newly formed surfaces (with no seed bank) such as dunes, lava flows and glacial forelands takes hundreds or thousands of years to facilitate. Secondary succession; succession that begins on previously vegetated areas such as fallow fields, clear-cut forests and embankments, vegetates rapidly.

Succession takes two main forms. ‘Autogenic’: natural, plant driven succession uninhibited by outside abiotic factors; and ‘Allogenic’: succession driven by abiotic, environmental factors such as human intervention, grazing animals, water flows, etc. Allogenic succession is far more common- true autogenic succession requires perfect growing conditions for all species, and virtually no human interference.

Henry Cowels (1899) was one of the first scientists to document this observable phenomenon. Using the example of his study site, Lake Michigan Sand Dunes, he noted the succession of species. Succession began with Marram Grass, which would facilitate within 20 years. Cotton Wood proceeded after 20-50 years, Jack Pine after 50-100 years, and Black Oak eventually dominates after 100-150 years. Each of these stages is commonly referred to as a ‘sere’.

In 1916 Fredrick Clements named this ‘facilitation’: complete replacement of species, where the preceding species inadvertently makes conditions habitable, or more favourable to other species. Clements held that ‘after a disturbance, an ecosystem would eventually return to its characteristic species assemblage’. He believed that succession was somewhat predicable and that eventually one would observe a monoclimax– the ‘King’ species of succession.

However, ‘many studies have shown successional pathways to be much more complicated and unpredictable than the classic facilitation model’ (Mac Donald 2003).

In the early 1920’s, Henry Gleason offered a more complex alternative to Clements’ model, suggesting that species responded individually to environmental factors and that the community structure was less predictable and more ‘coincidental’.

Years after Cowels’ benchmark study of Lake Michigan Sand Dunes, Jerry Olson (1958) conducted a long term study at the same site and concluded that the final, ‘climax’ community or assemblage differed depending on original conditions. He developed the idea of ‘multiple successional pathways’, depending on original conditions, extrinsic variables and colonisation patterns.

However, apart from environmental conditions and external factors, during the latter half of the 20th century, the more complex relationships between plant species that would eventually begin to explain the differing colonisation patterns were being researched.

In 1950, ecologist Catherine Keever observed succession following field abandonment and detected allelopathic and competitive interactions taking place. Allelopathy is a biological phenomenon where one species releases a biochemical which hinders growth, survival and/or reproduction of another species. Keever writes that Broomsage dominates as the ‘King’ species for this reason.

It soon became apparent that there is no simple pattern of succession. Instead, an array of intertwining mutualistic and competitive relationships built upon a combination of existing conditions, external factors and species interrelationships. This means, similarly to a food web among the animal kingdom, a change in one factor or species can alter the eventual climax community.

In 1977 Joseph Connell and Ralph Slatyer published their work which summarised the three basic modes in which an ecological community interact. The Conell-Slatyer model of succession includes three broad mechanisms: Facilitation, Inhibition and Tolerance.

Facilitation is ‘competitive replacement of species’. Each community creates conditions favourable for more complex communities, and are eventually ‘overtaken’ by more competitive species. Tolerance is where all species involved are equally capable of establishing themselves, and tolerate conditions put upon them by other species (such as lack of light) in order to survive. Late successional species are incredibly tolerant and competitive. Lastly, Inhibition is where initial plants modify the environment so that it is less favourable to other species, such as through nutrient sapping and allelopathy.

Lawrence Walker and colleagues observed all three models taking place at once during a 7 year study in Puerto Rico. During the study, early successional forms and woody plants were removed, which eventually affected the long term successional species- it appeared that woody plants and ferns appeared to, in combination, facilitate long term forest development (Walker et al 2001).

In contrast, scrambling ferns inhibited succession and decreased woody plant richness. This phenomenon can be attributed to a host of different and interlinking factors such as alteration of soil pH and light availably.

Walker’s study highlights problems such as species arrival order, which make projections almost impossible when studying the contrasting effects of competition and facilitation. It becomes clear that, ‘although it is an observable site phenomenon, there is no unanimity of definition or casual explanation for the process’ (Joy Tivvy, 1993).

So if you go down to the woods today, you’re almost sure of a big surprise!

The Gaia Hypothesis- is our time up?

The Gaia Hypothesis, also known as the Gaia Theory or the Gaia Principle proposes that the Earth system operates as one (named Gaia). The theory states that organisms interact with their inorganic surroundings on Earth to form a complex, self-regulating system that in itself maintains conditions for life on the planet.
The hypothesis, which is named after the Greek Goddess Gaia, was formulated by scientist James Lovelock and co-developed by the microbiologist Lynn Margulis in the 1970s. Lovelock and Margulis are interested in how the biosphere and the evolution of life forms affect the stability of global temperature, ocean salinity, oxygen in the atmosphere and other environmental variables that affect the habitability of Earth.

The Gaia Hypothesis suggests that organisms co-evolve with their environment. That is they ‘influence their abiotic environment (for example, temperature and atmosphere) and that in turn the environment influences biota by Darwinian processes. James Lovelock (1995) gives evidence of this in his second book, showing evolution of the world from bacteria such as Stromatolites, towards the oxygen enriched atmosphere today that supports more complex life.

Less accepted versions of the theory state that changes in the biosphere are brought about by coordination of all living organisms and conditions are maintained through homeostasis. However, most scientists accept that each individual pursues its self-interest, and that their combined actions have a counterbalancing effect on environmental change (Wikipedia 2014).

However, humans are changing everything. Our actions have far exceeded the level of activity that is required by the Earth to keep its systems in homoeostasis. As a species we have not only brought about environmental change through our interaction with the abiotic systems, but by the elimination of biota that keep Earth operating as a self-regulating system.

Rockstrom and colleagues (2009) identified nine planetary boundaries that humans must not transgress in order to preserve the planet in its current state of homoeostasis that is imperative for our survival. This can be described as a ‘safe operating space for humanity’ (Steffen et al 2011). These include climate change, ocean acidification, stratospheric ozone depletion, biochemical flow cycles, global freshwater use, biodiversity loss, atmospheric aerosol loading and chemical pollution and change in land use.

If the Gaia hypothesis is to be taken into account, as a species, the single most important chance we now have to survive is retention of biodiversity. However, worryingly, biodiversity is the boundary that we have exceeded the furthest- due to our actions of creating pollution, removing forest and changing land use, burning fossil fuels and changing climate, and many other factors, which has sent many systems into dangerous positive feedback cycles rather than self-regulating negative ‘re-setting’ feedback loops. As a result, we are currently losing biodiversity at a rate of 150 – 200 species per day (Rockstrom et al 2009).

A study this decade shows that 13 – 37% of species will be ‘committed to extinction’ by 2050 if we are to continue in our harmful and wasteful vein (Midgley et al 2004).
The Gaia Hypothesis has been criticized for being teleological and contradicting the principles of natural selection- in that, a process or action in nature is designed to work together for a final cause, that is, to maintain the homoeostasis as we know it today.

This idea of ‘feedback-coupling’ assumes that evolution means survival of the individuals who do well in the environment that they and co-occurring species have created. Both feedbacks will evolve because any trait that improves conditions will also give reproductive advantage to its biota. In contrast, natural selection favours any trait that gives biota a reproductive advantage, whether it improves or degrades the environment, for example the human species.

However ‘degradation’ of the environment in one species’ eyes may not be degradation for another, adapted species. Life and the environment evolve together as a single system so that not only does the species that leaves the most progeny tend to inherit the environment but also the environment that favours the most progeny is itself sustained (Lovelock 1986).

At the same time, organisms that retain or alter conditions optimising their fitness leave more of the same- in this way conditions are retained or altered to their benefit (Lovelock and Margulis 1974).

 

A puddle would say ‘well, this depression in the ground here is really quite comfortable isn’t it? It’s just as wide as I am, just as deep as I am, it’s the same shape as I am… in fact, it conforms exactly to me in every detail. This depression in the ground must have been made just for me!’– Douglas Adams.

 

It would seem plausible that organisms must adapt to the constraints of the environment else they don’t survive. ‘It is inevitable that that sentient life should view its world as Eden, for any evolutionary linages to which this world were a Hell would not persist long enough to develop intelligent life forms’ (Kirchner 2002).

However, humans are changing Earth’s conditions so rapidly that most species that we co-inhabit this planet with, and reply so heavily upon for our survival, cannot evolve fast enough. The time has come to perhaps either attempt to re-set the systems that we need to keep within the threshold to support life as we know it, or accept that we will eventually meet the same demise as so many other species.

We may think we are one step ahead of nature, but in reality, the rate at which we are changing the Earth will probably deem it impossible for us to adapt fast enough to survive. Are we really clever enough to save ourselves from our own collective actions?

Perhaps, it is time to consider, rather than seeing our demise as the ‘destroying of the planet’ we are instead simply changing the planet ready to start over again from the simplest life-forms, which will eventually support the next generation of complex life. Our actions could all be indeed, part of Gaia’s great master plan.